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Price Shocks, Food Shortages And Global Economic Riots In 2011?

People need to wake up – 2011 has just begun and yet we are already seeing significant price shocks and serious food shortages in many areas of the globe.  In fact, violent economic riots are now being reported in Algeria, in Chile and in Mozambique.  Food shortages and price increases are also causing political unrest in other nations such as India, Bangladesh and Indonesia.  This is a very serious situation, and if the major food producing nations of the world do not have another record harvest this year there is very likely going to be an incredibly serious global food crunch.  According to the UN’s Food and Agricultural Organization, the global price of food hit a new record high in December.  The previous record high for food prices was in June 2008, and we all remember what happened during the summer of 2008.  Massive food riots erupted in countries such as Cameroon, Haiti and Egypt.  So with price shocks and food shortages already being reported all over the globe, will we see even worse global economic riots in 2011?

One of the things that is playing into all this is all of the really extreme weather that we have been witnessing all over the globe.  In Australia, they have been experiencing flooding that is of Biblical proportions.  Brazil has also been hit by very serious flooding.  In other parts of South America, extremely dry weather is severely damaging many crops.  In the Northern Hemisphere, unusually cold and unusually snowy weather has many people scratching their heads.  Something really strange seems to be happening to global weather patterns, and that is not good news for global food production.

All of this bad weather is fueling a tremendous amount of commodity speculation.  Over this past year, almost every single major agricultural commodity has experienced a dramatic increase in price.

According to Forbes, corn is up 94% since June, soybeans are up 51% since June, and wheat is up 80% since June.

Ouch!

All of these agricultural commodity price increases are really starting to be felt around the globe.  Meanwhile, global demand for food only continues to increase.

For the last several years, great harvests in major food producing nations such as the United States have been able to offset the rising demand for food around the globe.

But what is going to happen if the big food exporting nations have a year or two of really bad harvests?

Not only that, but there are a couple of other factors that have many analysts warning of “inflation spikes” in the year ahead….

*Crude oil prices set new multi-year highs on Wednesday and we continue to see a relentless march back toward $100 dollars a barrel.  The price of oil affects the price of almost everything else, so this is a key indicator to watch.

*Rampant inflation in China is soon going to impact the prices of literally tens of thousands of different U.S. consumer products.  A recent New York Times article stated that U.S. garment buyers should be prepared for “sticker shock” when they attend China’s annual trade shows this year….

“They’re going to go home with 35 percent less product than for the same dollars as last year,” particularly for fur coats and cotton sportswear, said Bennett Model, chief executive of Cassin, a Manhattan-based line of designer clothing. “The consumer will definitely see the price rise.”

So how are U.S. consumers (and consumers all over the globe) going to react when all of those “cheap Chinese imports” are not so cheap anymore?

It won’t be pretty.

But for most people around the world in 2011, the main economic problem is likely to be the price of food.  In many areas of the globe, large numbers of people have to spend more than half their incomes just to feed themselves, so a spike in the price of food can have very, very serious consequences.

In some areas of the world, we are already witnessing very violent economic riots in response to rising prices for food.

Just check out what is happening in Algeria.  Several protesters have been killed and hundreds of others have been injured during violent food riots in that country.  Hordes of young people are throwing fire bombs and are shouting slogans such as “Bring us sugar!” Are these the kinds of food riots that we should expect to see around the globe as food gets tight this year?….

Economic riots are also being reported in Chile and Mozambique.  Officials in  India, Bangladesh and Indonesia are concerned that political unrest over food prices could soon erupt into violence in those nations as well.

Eric Bolling of the Fox Business Network recently did a really good job of explaining exactly what is causing all of this to happen, and in the video posted below he does not sound very optimistic about the rest of 2011 at all….

A recent article in Forbes magazine summarized the current global food situation this way….

The world is treading on dangerous ground. Market forces are in place for another global food crisis, and, as the wheels keep turning, it will become harder for these to be put in reverse.

So what does all of this mean for America?  Could we actually face food shortages in the United States at some point?

Well, at first a global food shortage would mean rapidly rising prices for food in the supermarkets.  The shelves would still be full, but people would not be able to afford to buy as much.

If a global food shortage was sharp enough and went on long enough, the price shocks would eventually turn into empty shelves and physical food shortages inside the United States.

Keep in mind, there are already tens of millions of Americans that cannot feed themselves.  In the United States today, there are over 43 million Americans on food stamps.  That means that approximately 1 out of every 7 Americans is being fed by the government.

So what is going to happen if real food shortages hit?

Already there are some very disturbing reports about food shortages in the U.S. floating around out there.

For example, the following is an excerpt from an alert that Steve Quayle recently posted on his website….

Having been one of the largest freeze dried food dealers in the U.S. for a number of years, I can tell you that this event is ominous. There are less than a dozen freeze drying food production facilities of consequence in the U.S. of which Mountain House is the largest. I was contacted late Wednesday night by one of their major dealers. He stated that Mountain House only had 4 entrees of foil packaged food available in their warehouse. They informed my dealer friend that “It was only going to get worse”!

The early warning signs are right there in front of us.  This has the potential to start getting very real.

Are you ready?  Are you prepared for price shocks?  Are you prepared for food shortages?  Are you prepared for a global economic meltdown?

The number of “preppers” in the United States has not exploded just because millions of Americans suddenly wanted to pick up a new hobby.  The truth is that over the last several years people have been waking up and have started realizing that the global economic system is heading for some really, really hard times.

Many believe that we are heading into what could potentially be some of the most chaotic times in all of human history.  Life in the years ahead is likely to be very different from what we are experiencing now.  The world is rapidly changing.  Now is the time to start getting prepared.

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  • Concerned Reader

    My narrative for the next 20 years and beyond can be summarized in one sentence: the death of the West, and the failure of the progressive project. I expect this to be a century of Malthusian horror, genocide, tribal war, holy war, resource war, famine, natural disasters and disease. Imagine global Haiti and Afghanistan, a world transformed into a vast, violent slum. As global population has shot vertically upward in the past two centuries, so it will begin to shoot downward just as rapidly. Expect a new Hitler to emerge who will attempt to drive out the muslims and non-Europeans from our midst in a desperate bid to save the West from its current suicidal trajectory.

  • Gary

    Seriously-all the world governments need to tax the rich and spread the wealth. If every country taxes the rich hard then these thieving parasites have no where to go and we will all get our money back from these scumbag robbers.

    If the federal gov taxes the rich hard they can not run to a state that has low or no income tax to avoid paying their fair share. The states with no income tax need a higher federal tax on the rich so they pay their fair share. If they want to leave the country they will need to leave their wealth behind. The government has the power to tax the rich hard and it sooner rather than later will in order to avoid riots etc. as regular people begin to realize how the rich have stolen form them. We will have the wealth spread around more evenly like it was in the 50-60-70’s. More and more people are waking up to the fact that they have been robbed by the rich and they want their money back (stolen productivity increases for years). You are starting to hear more about taxing the greedy rich to help the needy poor in the MSM etc.

  • mondobeyondo

    If you think the U.S. isn’t immune, you haven’t purchased vegetables or meat at your local grocery store lately.

    Buy some tomato, broccoli and lettuce plants at a nearby nursery or “big box” store. They’ll be a good investment in the future. Meat might be a little more challenging though. It’s hard to keep a cow in your apartment. But, MAKE NO MISTAKE (phrase (C) copyright Barack Obama), the price of all food is going to go sky high. Enjoy the good times while you still can.

    Happy New Year! (nervous smile)

  • mondobeyondo

    Meanwhile back at the ranch…

    The mainstream media proclaim, “Eat, drink and be merry!”

    And the sheeple declare, “Marry! Yes, let’s get married!

    Soon, they will shout, “Mary!! Mother of God!”

    An empty stomach is a very good motivation for violence. The future frightens me.

  • $_$

    CR: Dominique Strauss-Kahn. Know this man with fear. He is the boss of the IMF. Obama just gave 100 billion to this entity. Yes, you heard right 100 BILLION. Nations are throwing the peoples money at the IMF, cue the rise of One World Government.

  • premurderedGOM

    It is 26 degrees in the Florida panhandle. Most citrus crops were destroyed 2-3 weeks ago when it was 17 degrees for about 3 nights. Premium gas is $3.35. Food is outrageous. Police shootings are on the rise. Homeless are everywhere. Local Walmart now closing @ midnight due to theft/violence. And I just have one question. What about the kids?

  • Susan

    Alot of people think we are doomed, but there are still great ways to make money. Even while the economy is collapsing around us.

    I subscribe to the guy from australia and his FFT economic newsletter at http://www.forecastfortomorrow.com that guy has called many big events before they have happend, including the stock market crash in 2008 and the current financial collapse of the US. (currently happening) I found him from a friend last year, and he has some important work.

    His oil calls are insane, and I have been making good money with them. He is well worth a look, if you want to keep two steps ahead of the sheeple out there.

    I am worried about my financial future. Is anyone else nervous out there?

  • SGary

    It is time to allow this site to get back to seriousness. I know all about the charade of the person pretending to be a moron and calling himself Gary. At least change your name now so that you might be able to start the game over.

  • http://www.galaksija.com Brkchey

    “In many areas of the globe, large numbers of people have to spend more than half their incomes just to feed themselves”

    Hahaa, in Bosnia median salary is only 1/4 of which one 4 member family needs to feed itself, and only one member is employed usualy, if even that.
    Salaries late for few months.

  • Doug

    Gary – you are ignorant of the truth about taxation and have apparently bought into the notion that someone owes you something. No wonder the county is in the crapper – people like you walking around with a chip on your shoulder pointing your finger and blaming others for your ineptitude. The top 1% pay over a third, 34.27% of all income taxes. The top 5% pay 54.36% of all income taxes. The top 10% pay 65.84%. The top 25% pay 83.88%. The top 50% pay 96.54%. The bottom 50%? They pay a paltry 3.46% of all income taxes (Down from 2002: 3.50%). The top 1% is paying nearly ten times the federal income taxes than the bottom 50%! And who earns what? The top 1% earns 16.77% of all income. The top 5% earns 31.18% of all the income. The top 10% earns 42.36% of all the income; the top 25% earns 64.86% of all the income, and the top 50% earns 86.01% of all the income. Wake up and drink in the truth moron.

  • Mark …

    This is the big problem.

    It takes 3 units of oil or gas to grow the necessary food for you to take 1 unit of comparative energy out of it to live on.

    This is with plant food alone.

    Why 3 units, well fertilizer is made with oil. Without fertilizer forget about plant production on the current industrial scale.

    Phosphate, the main additive plants need, which is lacking in the soil, is extracted with oil.

    95% of transportation is done by oil.

    Multiply this factor by another factor of 3 to 5 if your food is based on meat.

    For the last 200 years, the world population growth curve is almost identical to the curve of coal and oil production.

    In other words, without the continuous growth of first coal, and then oil production, the growth of the world’s population would have been simply impossible !

    Now, we are hitting peak oil. It’s here already, or we will hit it within 10 years (doesn’t really matter when).

    Oil will still be around for another 200+ years to come, BUT it will be more and more difficult to find and extract. This means that oil will become more and more expensive, and this automatically means that food will also be more and more expensive. (Forget about deflation!)

    The other consequence is that if less and less oil is found, we will be able to grow less and less of food.

    Call this peak-food. And because many other commodities are extracted with the help of oil, you will find more and more peak-products to come.

    Now, there is this factor of 3 to 5 that goes into meat production, so the world has a buffer. Meat production is not really necessary for the human population to survive, and you will probably see governments in many countries closing meat farms if there is a lack of food.

    However, the following will probably start to kick in over the next 30 years in many parts of the world …

    As has been studied with e.g. excessive rabbit populations, when their source of food is dwindling, you first see an overshoot of population before you finally see a fast die-off.

    http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2227/1812626682_817fa56060_o.jpg

    Combine this with the current global warming (whether you believe it’s men made or not doesn’t matter), and you will see a real disaster developing.

    It’s not the first time in human history these kind of things happened. You will find it difficult to find this book, but it’s a very interesting read: “Catastrophe: An Investigation into the Origins of Modern Civilization” by David Keys.

    The author thought that because Krakatoa in Indonesia blew up in A.D. 535-536 (while in fact 15 years after writing this book scientists discovered that it was a meteor impact in Australia) that this caused directly and indirectly the kill-off of 30% of the world population and the start of the “dark ages”.

    I think it’s the best documented example we have on how humans were able to survive enormous catastrophic events. There hasn’t been one on such a scale since the 530s, but I am scared humans have created one of their own. One which will have a similar impact in the decades to come.

    One other events in human history might have come close: the catastrophic drainage of ancient Lake Agassiz in Canada. This caused the North Atlantic to suddenly rise, it broke the Bosporus land bridge at Constantinople, and suddenly floated the area of that’s now the Black Sea. The ancient flood myths, underlying the biblical story of Noah’s Ark, are most likely based on this.

    The Black Sea area was the main bread basket for the populations throughout the whole Middle East, 8500 years ago. The sudden destruction of it was likely a kill-off in similar proportions as what happened after the 530s, but unfortunately, very poorly documented, or with documents destroyed over time.

    Anyway, when it comes to the coming food situation, I am not very optimistic. I think you will be better off living as far north as you can over the coming decades.

  • Mark …

    “According to Forbes, corn is up 94% since June, soybeans are up 51% since June, and wheat is up 80% since June.”

    Don’t forget, these are “Futures contracts”. The real prices at the store kick in after 6 months when these Futures are exercised.

    So, the June 2010 Futures determine the current prices in the stores.

    The “SINCE JUNE” part of the quote is important. It means at in June the future prices were relatively low, but that e.g. the December 2010 futures were much, much higher … therefore those December prices will not kick in until May/June 2011.

  • Ryan

    Gary, abandoning our Constitutional values will not save us, but maybe you’re on the right path. All rich people are not evil, but anyone who is a key player in the bailout scandal, and market manipulations should hang in their respective town squares… Vilifying capital is indicative of banana republics and socialist dictator lead economies.

  • boomie

    This is preposterous. America has millions of acres of farmland and can grow it’s own food! We have our own cattle, chicken farms, grow our own fruits and vegetables. There will be NO problem with Americans feeding themselves. A global crisis will be good for America. We’ll get back to doing what we did best: taking care of ourselves. Actually, our food exports will perk up and there will be more money and jobs for us Americans.

    The last thing we should do is tax the rich. We need the rich to fund our farms, buy our equipment and make our loans.

    This website is a scare mongers paradise. Anyone who believes this guy’s drivel is an idiot!

  • A Dodgy Bloke

    A Pod Cast I’ve started listening to called Follow the Money interviewed a guy named Trace Mayer (Howtovanish.com) he was going to talk about privacy issues but they started talking current events. Trace talked about the death of the nation state, this has been tracking my own thinking that we are witnessing the death of this unsustainable culture we in the west have enjoyed since the end of World War II.
    The problem is at 7 billion there are simply too many of us I believe we are way over the planets carrying capacity without the global industrial infrastructure and the financial infrastructure to it support it. Where does that leave us, me I’m going out this weekend and buy some more extra food, maybe some more ammo. What you can do to quote Nicole Foss of Automatic Earth “Reality will dictate”. I’m going to try real hard to stay out realities way.

  • mondobeyondo

    Common logic dictates that there is a finite supply of oil.

    There are no “petroleum plants” – although many plants, including corn, soybeans, flax, and so forth, provide oil. It’s not the oil used in commerce. Peanut oil may work well in your turkey fryer, but try pouring it into your gas tank. (Are you trying to fry your vehicle’s engine? It’s made to fry turkeys!!)

    Petroleum, and all of its derivitaves – plastics, heating oil and so on – is extracted from the ground. And since it doesn’t grow, bloom, etc. – there is a finite supply of petroleum.

    The supply of easily available petroleum is reaching a plateau – some say it has already passed its “peak”, and is on the way down. Anyway, it will be harder and harder to extract the oil we need to live “the good life”.

    Alternative sources will be needed in the future. Wanna know why (in part) corn is increasing in price? Ethanol. Mix it with petroleum byproduts, to create a “cleaner” fuel. At the same time, corn will increase in price, and lots of people will starve, because ethanol is made from corn.

    Some possible alternatives are oil shale or rocks containing oil. Haven’t heard much about that lately. Worth a look though. If you can squeeze blood from a turnip, surely you can squeeze oil out of a rock (ha!!)

  • SGary

    boomie – I wish you were correct, but you’re not. Our farmland has been locked up, farmers have been run out of business, SB510 is implementing codex alimentarius which was implemented to starve billions of people.

    Tom, plese stop the Gary nonsense. Your game of pretending to be a moron is getting old.

  • http://www.planorperish.com Gutter Economist

    The greatest shortage in the US is leadership. As a result, Americans should prepare for every other kind of shortage. On a global scale, water shortages will soon top the list.

  • Stray Cat

    I agree with boomie in one respect; we ARE capable of being pretty much self sufficient in terms of food and energy. So the world doesn’t want our worthless FRN’s? Fine, we withdraw from the world and they can go their own way.
    Bring home all the troops, tell the european trash they’re on their own, give the South Koreans a few nukes to counter NK, and we’ll see everyone in about twenty years.
    Do I really expect this rosy scenario to come about? No. We are on the downhill slide and the slope gets more slippery every day. Hope you have some food, water and ammo stashed.

  • mondobeyondo

    @ Gary

    To paraphrase a classic “Far Side” cartoon, which is one of my favorites (if you’ve never heard of the “Far Side”, Google Gary Larson, or just The Far Side)

    Melissa: “Hey John… what do you think about what the federal government is doing?”

    John: “Melissa blah blah Melissa, blah blah, blah Melissa Melissa blah, blah blah. Melissa. BLAH!”

  • mondobeyondo

    Corn at my local grocery store is now 69 cents an ear.

    Just round it off.. Seventy cents for one freaking ear of corn. That’s insane!

    I’ll give the store the benefit of the doubt, and just assume it’s because corn is out of season. But still…

    I bought some corn seeds at Home Depot today. $1.07 a pack. Maybe this weekend I will plant them in my backyard garden, and just wait 4-5 months. Until then – no more corn on the cob for awhile.

  • Mark

    Growing corn to produce fuel doesn’t make economic sense. It takes more enery units of oil to make fertilizer than the amount of energy you will get out of corn alcohol.

    Besides, there is something called peak-phosphate, and believe it or not, we will hit that soon as well.

  • http://www.pathtoasia.com rhea

    What lies ahead is a dramatic erosion of people’s spending power – especially those on a fixed income – and a weak economy as a result. Just like with the unemployment numbers which are artificially low, there are misrepresentations and falsehoods on some media and the government which serves to marginalize lower income and fixed income citizens of this country. Unfortunately, you can’t vote bureaucrats out of office, so we’re stuck with these cigar-smokers for the foreseeable future. Inflation is here. The two most important things we spend are money on, fuel and food,and all are rising quickly.

    We help Americans find jobs and prosperity in Asia. For details, visit http://www.pathtoasia.com/jobs/

  • Mark

    Here is an interesting page explaining how many european currencies were converted from an ‘old’ value to a ‘new’ value.

    Good material for a new article.
    http://measuringworth.com/exchangeglobal/infoeurope.htm

  • Meansideys

    The problem can be solved easily. Legalize Marijuana and utilise industrial Hemp to the fullest extent our current technology can allow. Hemp can be used for over 25,000 different products. You’ve got textiles, paper, rope, cord etc with the plant fibre and you can make biomass fuel, food and a zillion other things with the seeds. If this were done tomorrow and it was grown everywhere then in 50 years time there would hardly be any need for oil and food would be abundant. This knowledge is not a secret, ask yourself why this isn’t being done already.

  • mud maid

    as an organic farmer and a person who has spent a significant amount of time studying our nations food production systems, I’d like to put in my two cents worth on the subject of the US being able to feed itself. with the decline of fossil fuels local food systems will become all important. our current food systems require food to be shipped thousands of miles to point of sale, which will become unsustainable. the bulk of our nations “big” crops, wheat, corn, etc. are grown using petroleum based chemicals. which not only will become too expensive to use, but also kill the benificial microbes in the soil that are required to feed plants 65 different minerals. once soil has been ruined like this it requires some effort to restore natural balance and resume growing in a sustainable or long term way…..food for thought.

  • concerned

    it’s time for revelations to begin. the food shortage is only the beginning of the end.

  • graeme

    The judgment of God has begun.tribulation began in 2009.It last 3.5 years not double that as normally stated so expect things to change rapidly and dramatically.

  • BrianL

    Although I do believe energy and food prices will go up this year, PLEASE check your facts before you post things on your blog. If you go to Mountain House’s website, you’ll see that they have plenty of entrees available for sale.
    Secondly, they do note that #10 cans are in short supply because of a spike in sales, NOT due to what is rumored on the internet that the gov’t is buying it all up. undoubtedly it’s due to the Glenn Beck masses thinking the sky is falling,and they are buying.

    Don’t believe me? Just go to Mountain Houses website. Easy as that.
    Enjoy!

  • brent

    I’m with Gary,. .The economic model I use is like unto an aquarium with the money flow bubbling upwards, . ..all the bubbles are at the top and the flow has stopped, . . .we need to bring the money back down if we all want to survive this, . we need to get the wheels turning again, ..The wealthy think they can simply ride this out by hiding out in remote locations with hoarded food supplies, . .but this is in error, as everyone in the city with a gun, knows their plan, unfortunately for the wealthy , there is strength in numbers. .family blood will flow,our children will learn to shoot, they will learn to get their head blown off for food . .we need to think of each other right now, before its too late, . .when the titanic went down, the men were heros, going down with the ship, for the children, . .the wealthy who plan on hiding and watching others starve along with their children, are not christian, . they are no better than the nazi regime, . .they need to start planning for all of us and quit being so damn self centered or their blood will flow as well, . .the cats out of the bag

  • Shelly

    Somehow I make “too much money” for food stamps, yet I had to buy two weeks worth of food for $23.00 untill next payday. Where are the riots in my neck of the woods? I’m ready come on lets go!!!!!!!!! I work my A$$ off… two jobs neither full time, but still it’s the best I could do. I’m sooooo ready.

  • Gray Ghost

    “People do not starve to death quietly…or peacefully” unknown

    I fear the future is bleak for our Republic, my only thoughts are prepare as best you can.

  • Michael Shane

    Its time to think about food reserves stocking up for bad times! Protect you and your family and be prepared! something to think about.

  • Michael Shane

    This is one of best food reserve company’s around
    with product up to a 25 year shelf life! You can sample there product for free.

    http://www.michaelshane.efoodsglobal.com/

  • http://zeropoint.dreamstation.com/ derfuelermeister

    What is being made to appear as the answer for the “peak oil” ruse parallels the devicively created, but transnationally unique article citing the NWO as the enemy of energy independence:

    http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=59713

    This article reveals how international bureaucracies spin and sow the seeds of discontent by marginalizing national independence at the local, personal level. Regional character as well as regional potential for promise market growth gets more time to become “observed” by the policed state of nations, rather than increasing the participation in the push for promise market potential.

    One example of this marginalization includes the endorsed “ultra green” vehicles (our own U.S. Dept. Energy, Ames Laboratory), that in effect, would mass expedite the manufacture of 2-14-1 crystal structure of Nd2Fe14B, rather than noting that there is already a “diamond type structure” available for the manufacture of electrogravitic Bismuth, making the whole ground based “green” technology an investors hellhole, for any company STUPID enough to fall for the “evil polluter” syndrome, unless of course, it’s for their own bureaucratically progressive, tax credit – THAT simply represents a HANDSHAKE with the NWO.

    On the other hand, any prospective investment in flying cars could, according to this scenario, invest a WHOLE lot cheaper than ANY, progressively, ground-based, “ultra-green” technology ANYDAY!!!

  • robert g

    3 simple steps to solve the worlds problems

    1. Jail all environmentalist and global warming scam artist.

    2. Start drilling for oil everywhere.

    3. Stop using 25% of the worlds food for fuel.

  • Md. Sulaiman Khan

    Dear Sir,
    As per survey report of Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), when about 5500 new mouths /population are increasing everyday, then about 440 acres land are decreasing. On the other hand, the per Capita Cultivated land 0.13 acres is very insufficient to met the food requirement of whole year of each person.

    In this dangerous situation, we are inviting you and your neighbours to join a mass movement on following Slogan:
    ‘SAVE OUR CROP LAND’ FROM THE UNPLANNED EXPANSION OF BUSINESS AND RESIDENTIAL HOUSING SCHEME’
    And
    ‘STOP INCREASING GROWTH RATE OF POPULATION’

    Here, we are requesting you to join with our FOOD SECURITY NETWORK (FoSNet) and also take a special measure to motivate our Government to implement the above Slogan at the grass-root level.